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Why Nigeria’s economy may suffer setback

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The Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG) has explained why the country’s economy may suffer a serious setback.

NESG raised the concerns during the group’s quarterly media session in Abuja, warning that Nigeria risks slipping back into weak economic growth if current reforms are reversed or abandoned.

The group also warned that such a move could undo the fragile stability achieved in recent months.

There have been calls for the federal government to either change its ongoing economic reforms or abandon them totally in the face of current economic hardships brought upon by the US-Israel war against Iran.

Speaking, the Head of Research, Joseph Ogebe, said the country’s growth outlook could weaken significantly if policy direction changes.

He said projections show that reversing key reforms could push growth down to between two and three per cent, a level associated with periods of economic strain.

Ogebe explained that although recent policy changes have started to produce results, the progress remains delicate. According to him, abandoning the reforms would likely increase fiscal pressure on government, discourage investment and worsen poverty across the country.

He noted that economic growth has picked up compared to 2023, rising to about 3.9 per cent, while inflation has dropped sharply from the high levels recorded in that year to 15.06 per cent as of February 2026. However, he said these improvements have not yet translated into meaningful changes in the daily lives of many Nigerians.

Describing the current period as decisive, Ogebe said the choices made in 2026 would shape the country’s economic direction for years to come.

“This year is critical. The decisions we take now will determine whether the gains we are seeing can be sustained and expanded,” he said.

He added that Nigeria must target stronger growth of at least six per cent to make a real impact on poverty reduction. He pointed out that current expansion is concentrated in a few sectors, including finance, ICT and oil and gas, while key job-creating sectors such as agriculture and manufacturing are yet to perform strongly.

Ogebe also warned against renewed pressure to reintroduce subsidy policies, noting that previous arrangements placed a heavy burden on government finances.

“We got to a point where borrowing was used to sustain subsidies, leaving little room for investment in infrastructure and development. That approach is not sustainable,” he said.

Also speaking, the Chief Economist and Director of Research at NESG, Olusegun Omisakin, said Nigeria is gradually stabilising after a difficult period that brought the economy close to serious disruption.

He said while some reforms have created short-term challenges, reversing them would likely bring back inefficiencies and fiscal constraints that previously limited development spending.

“If such policies are rolled back, we may return to a situation where government struggles to fund capital projects and inefficiencies take over the system again,” Omisakin said.

He stressed that reforms require strong institutions and effective implementation to deliver results, adding that the focus should be on improving governance systems rather than abandoning policy measures prematurely.

Drawing from international experience, he noted that countries such as Ghana have faced setbacks after reversing key economic policies, warning that Nigeria should avoid a similar path.

Omisakin said there are early signs of recovery, including improved access to foreign exchange and increased investor interest, but cautioned that sustaining these gains would depend on consistent policy direction.

In her contribution, the Head of Public Affairs and Public Policy Development at NESG, Seun Ojo, said long-term commitment to reforms is necessary to achieve inclusive growth.

She said discussions at the 31st Nigerian Economic Summit focused on ensuring that improvements in the broader economy translate into better productivity, stronger resilience and fairness for citizens.

According to her, priorities identified include industrial growth, infrastructure development, increased investment, social inclusion and stronger institutions. She added that coordination across government and consistent policy execution would be critical to achieving these outcomes.

Ojo also said public trust would play an important role in sustaining reforms, noting that transparency and active engagement with citizens are necessary to build confidence and support for government policies.

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Jennifer Adighije led NDPHC  successfully concludes transformer acceptance tests in India

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In a move that signals a paradigm shift in the management of Nigeria’s energy assets, the Niger Delta Power Holding Company (NDPHC) has successfully concluded rigorous Factory Acceptance Tests (FAT) for a high-capacity 1x15MVA 33/11kv transformer set for delivery to the Agbara Industrial Area Ogun State. This moves seeks to deliver an unprecedented access to Grid connection for some unserved industries in the cluster that have prayed for this intervention for decades. Under the visionary leadership of Managing Director, Engr. Jennifer Adighije, this technical milestone represents a decisive “green light” for the deployment of world-class equipment and deployment of infrastructure, ensuring that every piece of equipment integrated into the national grid meets the highest global standards of quality, durability and efficiency.

The successful completion of these tests in India is far more than a routine inspection; it is a strategic safeguard against the technical failures that have historically plagued the power sector. By subjecting these multi-million Naira assets to gruelling performance simulations before they ever touch Nigerian soil, Adighije’s administration is effectively eliminating the risk of substandard hardware. This proactive approach ensures that the new transformers are perfectly calibrated to withstand the unique load patterns and environmental rigors of the Nigerian landscape, thereby maximizing the lifespan of the nation’s power investments.

This initiative is a management philosophy championed by Engr. Adighije that prioritizes transparency, precision, and “eyes-on” leadership. By personally overseeing the verification of these critical assets abroad, the NDPHC leadership has sent a clear message to international partners and domestic stakeholders alike: the era of passive procurement is over. This hands-on oversight guarantees that the 1x15MVA transformers are not just functional, but optimized to significantly reduce technical losses that currently undermine electricity distribution across the federation.

The technical implications of this milestone are set to be felt directly by industries in Agbara that have since grappled with high costs of self-generated electricity. The 1x15MVA transformer is specifically engineered to bolster substation capacity, acting as a critical bridge in the “stepping down” of high-voltage electricity for safer local consumption. Once installed, these units will be providing the much-needed stability required to industries and illuminate communities that have long struggled with inconsistent supply.

Beyond the immediate engineering victory, this India mission underscores a deepening strategic partnership between Nigeria and global manufacturing powerhouses. It fosters a culture of rigorous accountability, proving that the NDPHC is committed to a value-for-money plan where public funds are translated into tangible, high-performance hardware. This international collaboration places Nigeria’s power sector on a pedestal of global best practices, attracting confidence from investors and development partners who see a modernized, disciplined approach to infrastructure growth.

As the NDPHC continues its aggressive drive to bridge the energy gap, Engr. Jennifer Adighije’s administration is being lauded for steering the agency away from the inefficient cycles of the past. This latest triumph in India serves as a powerful testament to a new leadership era defined by technical excellence and an unwavering commitment to national progress. For a nation hungry for industrialization, these milestones are the building blocks of a modernized grid capable of powering Nigeria’s aspirations well into the future.

 

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Nigeria’s insurance sector premiums surge in 2025

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Nigeria’s insurance sector recorded a strong performance in 2025, with Gross Premium Written (GPW) rising by 47.3 percent year-on-year to N2.301 trillion, up from N1.558 trillion in 2024.

According to a report released by the National Insurance Commission, the growth reflects sustained regulatory efforts aimed at deepening the market and boosting confidence in the industry.

The report noted that the sector’s expansion significantly outpaced Nigeria’s overall economic growth rate of 3.9 percent, underscoring its increasing importance within the country’s financial system.

The surge in premiums was largely driven by strong activity in the oil and gas segment within non-life insurance, alongside rising annuity funds in the life insurance category.

Despite the growth in premiums, total claims paid declined by 21.7 percent to N724.7 billion in 2025, compared to N926.1 billion recorded in the previous year.

Non-life insurance continued to dominate the market, accounting for 68.4 percent of total premiums, while life insurance contributed 31.6 percent.

Within the non-life segment, oil and gas remained the largest contributor, making up 30.3 percent of premiums. Fire insurance followed with a 20.4 percent share, while motor insurance accounted for 16.1 percent. Other segments—including miscellaneous, general accident, marine, and aviation—also contributed significantly to overall performance.

In the life insurance segment, annuity funds emerged as the leading driver, accounting for 44.3 percent of total premiums. Individual life policies contributed 36.2 percent, while group life insurance made up 19.5 percent.

The report also highlighted improvements in claims management across the industry. Total claims in 2025 represented 31.5 percent of gross premiums written, reflecting stronger underwriting capacity and more effective pricing strategies by insurers.

Further breakdown showed that life insurance firms recorded a claims settlement ratio of 65.5 percent, while non-life insurers achieved a higher settlement rate of 75.5 percent.

Overall, the industry’s performance points to growing public trust, enhanced regulatory oversight, and a more resilient insurance market capable of supporting Nigeria’s broader economic development.

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FCMB champions culture-led inclusion, business growth at 2026 Ibadan festival

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First City Monument Bank is deepening its push for financial inclusion by tapping into Nigeria’s cultural economy, using the 2026 Ibadan Cultural Festival as a platform to empower small businesses and connect local enterprises to wider markets.

As a lead partner of the festival organised by the Central Council of Ibadan Indigenes, the bank said cultural events are evolving into vibrant economic hubs, bringing together thousands of traders, creatives, and service providers while generating significant commercial activity.

Speaking at a press conference in Ibadan, FCMB’s Divisional Head of Corporate Affairs, Diran Olojo, explained that the bank’s strategy is focused on enabling participation and supporting growth within these ecosystems.

“Culture is no longer just about tradition—it is a marketplace,” he said. “Events like this concentrate demand, talent, and enterprise in one place. Our role is to help businesses plug into that through access to finance, visibility, and payment systems that support growth.”

He added that the festival drives economic activity across multiple sectors, including hospitality, retail, transportation, and the creative industry. It also attracts diaspora participation, boosting remittances and encouraging local investment.

The annual festival, widely known as Okebadan, draws large crowds of residents, indigenes, and visitors, creating a surge in commercial opportunities across the city.

President-General of the CCII, Ajeniyi Ajewole, said the event has grown into both a cultural celebration and an economic platform.

“It promotes tourism, supports small businesses, and provides an avenue for Ibadan indigenes in the diaspora to reconnect and contribute to development,” he noted, adding that FCMB’s involvement highlights increasing private sector interest in culture-driven growth.

Chairman of the planning committee, Gbolagade Akere, said the 2026 edition has been designed to strengthen Ibadan’s position as a tourism and investment destination by blending cultural expression with economic engagement.

FCMB said its participation aligns with a broader strategy to build inclusive ecosystems that link informal and small-scale businesses to financing, markets, and opportunities for expansion—positioning culture as a key driver of sustainable economic development.

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