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Save Ogun from going the Osun way- APC chieftain advises Tinubu

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By Philippine Duru

philippineobetoduru@gmail.com

08034905774

 

 

 

An All Progressives Congress (APC) chieftain and political commentator, Alubarika, has cautioned President Bola Ahmed Tinubu against relying solely on political assurances from Ogun State Governor, Dapo Abiodun, ahead of future elections in the state.

 

Speaking on X (formerly Twitter), Alubarika drew a comparison between Abiodun’s political standing in Ogun State and that of former Osun State Governor Adegboyega Oyetola, arguing that the President should prioritise verifiable grassroots structures, mobilisation capacity, and electoral realities over political claims.

 

According to him, “Dapo Abiodun is another Oyetola of Ogun State,” although he noted that Oyetola demonstrated relatively stronger grassroots effectiveness, as he was able to deliver his ward and local government for the APC.

 

Alubarika questioned whether the same could be confidently said of Abiodun, particularly in terms of the governor’s capacity to mobilise votes beyond his immediate political structure.

 

He maintained that the circumstances surrounding Abiodun’s emergence as governor underscored the importance of collective political structures and alliances in determining electoral outcomes in Ogun State.

 

The commentator specifically credited Senator Solomon Adeola, popularly known as YAYI, former Governor Ibikunle Amosun, and former Governor Gbenga Daniel for playing significant roles in the political process that culminated in Abiodun’s election.

 

He described the three politicians as major political actors with established structures, networks, and grassroots influence across Ogun State’s three senatorial districts.

 

“Their structures, influence and networks played a critical role in his emergence and eventual victory,” Alubarika stated, urging stakeholders to focus on verifiable political facts and electoral records rather than individual assertions of strength.

 

He argued that a sitting governor’s ability to deliver his own ward and local government should serve as a key benchmark in assessing claims of capacity to secure statewide electoral victory.

 

“If a sitting governor cannot convincingly deliver his own ward and Local Government for his party, then any claim about delivering an entire state should be viewed with caution,” he said.

 

According to him, electoral politics is ultimately determined by organisation, relationships, mobilisation, and votes, rather than rhetoric or public displays of influence.

 

Alubarika therefore urged President Tinubu to broaden consultations in Ogun State by engaging the three prominent political figures — YAYI, Amosun, and Gbenga Daniel — rather than relying on the assurances of a single individual.

 

He proposed a roundtable engagement involving the three leaders, noting that such a meeting could foster reconciliation, political alignment, and renewed unity within the APC ahead of future elections.

 

He further argued that the trio possess substantial political experience and grassroots networks that could significantly strengthen the party’s electoral prospects in Ogun State if their differences are resolved and their interests properly harmonised.

 

The APC chieftain also cautioned against political grandstanding and exaggerated claims of electoral strength, stressing that electoral success depends on broad-based organisation and genuine grassroots acceptance.

 

“If Tinubu desires a truly overwhelming result in Ogun State, he must bring YAYI, Amosun and Gbenga Daniel to the table and build a broad-based coalition that reflects the political reality of the state,” he said.

 

His comments come amid the strategic importance of Ogun State in national politics and the increasing emphasis on internal alliances, party structures, and influential political blocs ahead of future elections.

 

Alubarika’s position effectively calls for a political strategy in Ogun State that extends beyond the influence of the incumbent administration and incorporates the state’s major political power centres.

 

He maintained that electoral figures and voting patterns remain a more reliable measure of political strength than public pronouncements.

 

“At the end of the day, numbers do not lie, structures do not lie, and electoral results do not lie,” he said, insisting that political realities on the ground must take precedence over rhetoric.

 

The intervention is expected to intensify discussions within APC circles in Ogun State regarding the balance of power among the governor’s camp and other influential political blocs, as the party seeks to maintain cohesion and strengthen its electoral prospects.

 

For Alubarika, the message to the Presidency is clear: if the objective is to secure a decisive APC victory in Ogun State, President Tinubu must pursue a broad political accommodation that brings the state’s key stakeholders to a unified negotiating table.

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Politics

2027: APC Chieftain Alubarika predicts Tinubu lead in four zones

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By Philippine Duru

philippineobetoduru@gmail.com

08034905774

 

 

A prominent chieftain of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Alubarika, has projected that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu will lead the 2027 presidential election in four of Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones, while former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and former Anambra State governor Peter Obi are expected to dominate the North-East and South-East respectively.

 

Alubarika made the projection in a post on his verified X handle, formerly Twitter, where he assessed the likely performance of the major contenders based on what he described as his political experience, grassroots engagement and understanding of Nigeria’s electoral dynamics.

 

According to his projection, Tinubu would secure 50 per cent of the vote in the North Central, compared with 25 per cent for Atiku, 20 per cent for Obi and five per cent for other candidates.

 

The North Central zone comprises Benue, Kogi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, Plateau and the Federal Capital Territory.

 

In the North-East, however, Alubarika predicted an advantage for Atiku, giving the former vice president 50 per cent, against 40 per cent for Tinubu. Obi and other candidates were each projected to secure five per cent.

 

The North-East comprises Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba and Yobe states.

 

In the North-West, Alubarika again placed Tinubu ahead with 50 per cent, followed by Atiku with 30 per cent, Obi with 15 per cent and other candidates with five per cent.

 

For the South-East, the APC chieftain predicted a strong showing for Obi, projecting him to win 50 per cent of the vote. Tinubu was placed at 35 per cent, Atiku at 10 per cent and other candidates at five per cent.

 

Obi, who is the presidential candidate of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), is expected to draw significant support from the region.

 

Alubarika also projected a 50 per cent share for Tinubu in the South-South, compared with 25 per cent for Obi, 20 per cent for Atiku and five per cent for other candidates.

 

The South-West recorded Tinubu’s highest projected performance, with Alubarika putting the incumbent president at 69 per cent. Obi was projected at 15 per cent, Atiku at 10 per cent and other candidates at six per cent.

 

Explaining his assessment, Alubarika said he believed the projection was about 75 per cent accurate, while acknowledging that political dynamics could change considerably before the election.

 

“Politics is never an exact science, and a lot can change before 2027,” he said.

 

He urged Nigerians and political observers to keep his prediction and compare it with the actual results after the election.

 

“When the votes are counted and the dust settles, come back and give me my flowers,” he wrote.

 

The projection is not based on an opinion poll or official electoral data but represents Alubarika’s personal assessment of the likely voting pattern ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

 

With the election still ahead, political alliances, party structures, candidate nominations, regional dynamics, economic conditions and other emerging issues could alter the current political calculations.

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Politics

Timipre Sylva resigns from APC, accuses party of ‘floundering’

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By Philippine Duru

philippineobetoduru@gmail.com

08034905774

 

 

Former Bayelsa State Governor and ex-Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Timipre Sylva, has resigned his membership of the All Progressives Congress (APC), declaring that he can no longer identify with the party.

Sylva announced his decision in a letter dated August 31, 2026, in which he expressed concerns over the direction of the party and the conduct of its leadership.

The former governor accused the APC leadership of promoting the notion that “all is fair in politics,” arguing that the principle had contributed to practices he said were inconsistent with the values he expected from the party.

He also criticised the performance of the Federal Government, expressing dissatisfaction with what he described as shortcomings under the APC-led administration.

Describing the APC as a “floundering ship,” Sylva said his continued association with the party was no longer tenable.

The former petroleum minister also copied the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) in the letter, alleging that the anti-graft agency was increasingly being used as an instrument of the APC.

Sylva’s resignation comes amid heightened political activity ahead of Nigeria’s 2027 general elections, with defections and realignments increasingly shaping the country’s political landscape.

His departure could have political implications in Bayelsa and the wider South-South region, where he remains a prominent figure in the APC and Nigerian politics.

The development is expected to trigger further reactions within the party as political actors continue to reposition themselves ahead of the 2027 elections.

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Politics

All North Central for Asiwaju  inaugurates state coordinators

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By Philippine Duru

philippineobetoduru@gmail.com

08034905774

 

 

All North Central For Asiwaju 2027, a fast growing support group for the reelection of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has vowed to work assiduously to actualize the President’s victory  in next year’s general election.

The group disclosed this during the inauguration of its state coordinators by the convener, Chief Ewie Aimienwauu.

 

The state coordinators inaugurated include  Johnson Onoja (Benue) Isaiah Yusuf Mohammed (Kogi) Ibrahim Olayode (Kwara) Jibrin Yaheye Oka (Nassarawa) Panchin Jatau (Plateau) Istifanus  Shekwonumwaza Philip (FCT)  and Bala Ahmed (Niger).

 

Addressing the members, Chief  Aimienwauu said the “All North Central For Asiwaju 2027 is an association of indigenes and non-indigenes citizens of Nigeria resident in the North Central States of (Benue, Kogi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, Plateau and the Federal Capital Territory of Abuja), from all works of life committed to the re-election of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu GCFR for a well -deserved second term at the 2027 general elections.

“We recognise the pivotal role of our Father and Leader of North Central, Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Senator George Akume to the successful re-election of the President and a resounding victory at the 2027 polls in the North Central region.”

Continuing, he said “we cannot overlook the persistent advent of insecurity in the region. Against this complex background our father and Leader has been able to maintain peace and stability in the region scoring high as the representative and eyes and ears of Mr. President. The region has enjoyed much more strategic appointments under this administration than any one before it. The region has started enjoying relative peace and defeat of insurgency and insecurity with the recent rescue of kidnap victims as a testament. The region has enjoyed more federal government infrastructure and policy dividends not to mention the availing of the Governors and Minister of FCT more allocation for the much-needed dividend of democracy.”

The convener said  President Bola Ahmed Tinubu had done extremely well for the North Central region so far and “is ready to do more when we return him for a second term in 2027. It is against this backdrop of visible tangible progress in the North Central region that we have come together to support our father and Leader of North Central region, the Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Senator George Akume to ensure that he delivers President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in all the North Central States and the Federal Capital Territory.

“At the national level, the achievements and projects and policy advantages of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu dots the landscape of Nigeria and has started showing up on the dinner plates of our great people. The President has the political will to transform Nigeria into the Eldorado we all have dreamed of and support for him is now. On your mandate we shall stand.”

Also speaking, the Plateau State Coordinator

Pancin Jatau Vrengle, said the inauguration was a significant and inspiring moment, marking a renewed commitment to supporting the vision and leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

“The inauguration has further strengthened our resolve to work assiduously, strategically and collectively for the re-election of Mr. President in 2027. We are committed to mobilising Nigerians in the North Central Zone, communicating the achievements of the Renewed Hope Agenda, engaging stakeholders and promoting peaceful, issue-based political participation.

“We assure Mr. President and the leadership of our movement of our unwavering dedication, loyalty and readiness to contribute our time, resources and networks towards securing victory for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu in 2027.Together, with unity, commitment and strategic mobilisation, we shall deliver a stronger mandate for Asiwaju.”

Speaking in the same vein, his Kogi State counterpart, Yusuf Isaiah, said: “We  sincerely thank God Almighty and our Global/ National leaders particularly His Excellency Sen. George Akume (SGF), High Chief Ewie Aimenwauu, Hon. Marcellanous Njoku and AK Jasper. For giving us the opportunity to be part of this August assignment on ensuring that PBAT is re-elected as the President of Nigeria come 2027.

“We assure the Global/National body of our full commitment to this target.

The message is clear and it will be communicated to all the nook and cranny in Kogi State and North Central in general. By the virtue of our successful inauguration yesterday.  It is our prayer that as we have kick-started this must- deliver assignment, the leaders should make available all the necessary resources to enable us to be efficient and effective on ground.”

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