Business
Over 3% growth in first quarter of Nigerian’s economy
By Philippine Duru
philippineobetoduru@gmail.com
08034905774
Nigeria’s economy recorded a 3.89 per cent year-on-year growth in the first quarter of 2026, reflecting continued resilience despite persistent inflationary pressures and global economic uncertainties, according to the latest national accounts data.
The growth performance was largely driven by the services sector, which maintained its position as the biggest contributor to economic expansion, although the overall GDP growth rate was slightly lower than the level recorded in the preceding quarter.
Economic analysts described the latest figures as evidence that ongoing reforms and increased activity in non-oil sectors are helping to support the country’s economic recovery, even as businesses and households continue to grapple with elevated costs and tight financial conditions.
The services sector, which accounts for more than half of Nigeria’s economic output, led growth during the quarter through strong performances in telecommunications, financial services, information technology, trade, transportation, entertainment and professional services. Increased digital adoption, rising demand for financial technology solutions and expanding telecommunications services continued to boost economic activity across the sector.
Industry experts noted that Nigeria’s growing digital economy remains one of the strongest pillars of growth, attracting investment and creating new opportunities despite broader macroeconomic challenges.
The financial services industry also posted robust growth as banks, fintech firms and other financial institutions benefited from increased transaction volumes, greater digital banking penetration and continued reforms within the financial system.
While the economy expanded during the quarter, the pace of growth moderated slightly compared to the previous quarter, reflecting the impact of inflation, high interest rates and subdued consumer spending. Rising production costs continued to affect manufacturers and small businesses, while households faced pressure from higher food, transportation and utility expenses.
Economists said the marginal slowdown does not necessarily indicate weakening economic fundamentals but rather highlights the challenges associated with the country’s ongoing economic adjustment process.
“The economy is still expanding, but growth remains uneven across sectors. Services continue to carry much of the burden, while other segments of the economy are still recovering from the effects of inflation and structural constraints,” said a Lagos-based economic analyst.
The oil sector also contributed positively to growth as production levels improved compared to previous periods. Government efforts to tackle crude oil theft, pipeline vandalism and operational disruptions have helped stabilize output, supporting export earnings and fiscal revenues.
However, analysts stressed that Nigeria’s long-term economic sustainability will depend on reducing its dependence on oil by accelerating growth in manufacturing, agriculture and other productive sectors.
The agricultural sector recorded moderate growth during the quarter, supported by increased cultivation activities and government interventions aimed at improving food production. Nevertheless, insecurity in some farming regions, climate-related challenges and high input costs continued to constrain the sector’s full potential.
Manufacturing activity showed signs of recovery but remained under pressure from elevated energy costs, exchange-rate volatility and expensive borrowing conditions. Many manufacturers have continued to advocate for policies that lower production costs and improve access to foreign exchange.
The latest GDP data comes as the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu intensifies efforts to implement economic reforms designed to strengthen public finances, attract investment and diversify the economy.
Government officials have repeatedly pointed to improvements in revenue generation, foreign exchange market reforms and infrastructure investments as foundations for stronger medium-term growth. International financial institutions have also projected continued expansion for Nigeria over the next two years, although they caution that inflation, debt servicing costs and global commodity price volatility remain significant risks.
Market observers believe that sustaining growth above 4 per cent will require deeper structural reforms, improved power supply, enhanced security and greater support for private-sector investment.
For investors, the latest GDP figures provide a measure of confidence that Africa’s largest economy remains on a growth trajectory despite ongoing challenges. The strong performance of services highlights the increasing importance of technology, finance and consumer-oriented industries in shaping Nigeria’s economic future.
As policymakers seek to build on recent gains, attention will now turn to whether stronger economic growth can translate into lower inflation, higher employment and improved living standards for millions of Nigerians. While the first-quarter figures suggest continued resilience, economists agree that the ultimate test of economic success will be how quickly growth impacts businesses, jobs and household incomes across the country.
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Dangote refinery hits 700,000 barrel per day
By Philippine Duru
philippineobetoduru@gmail.com
08034905773
Nigeria’s drive toward energy self-sufficiency has received a major boost as the Dangote Petroleum Refinery reportedly ramps up production to about 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), significantly increasing the supply of refined petroleum products to the domestic market and strengthening the country’s position in the global refining industry.
The development marks a significant milestone for the $20 billion refinery project, which has steadily increased its operational capacity since commencing production. Industry stakeholders say the higher output level is helping to ease fuel supply concerns, reduce dependence on imported petroleum products, and improve energy security in Africa’s largest economy.
Located in the Lekki Free Trade Zone in Lagos, the refinery was designed with a nameplate capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, making it the largest single-train refinery in the world. Recent reports indicating production levels approaching 700,000 barrels daily have fueled optimism about the facility’s ability to meet growing domestic demand while serving export markets across Africa and beyond.
The refinery’s rising output comes at a critical time when Nigeria is seeking to reduce the billions of dollars spent annually on fuel imports and conserve foreign exchange reserves. For decades, despite being one of Africa’s largest crude oil producers, Nigeria relied heavily on imported refined products due to inadequate domestic refining capacity.
Analysts say the increased production is already transforming the country’s downstream petroleum sector by ensuring a more stable supply of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, as well as diesel, aviation fuel, and other refined products.
“The refinery is gradually changing the dynamics of Nigeria’s fuel market,” said an energy analyst based in Lagos. “Higher production levels mean greater local availability of petroleum products, lower import dependence, and improved supply chain efficiency.”
The impact has been particularly evident in the petrol market, where increased local production has helped reduce pressure on fuel imports and improved product availability across the country. Industry operators note that the refinery’s growing output is also contributing to increased competition within the downstream sector.
Beyond the domestic market, the refinery has emerged as a significant exporter of refined products. Recent shipments of aviation fuel, diesel, and other petroleum products to Europe, Asia, and other international destinations have strengthened Nigeria’s position as a major refining hub.
The refinery’s export activities are generating valuable foreign exchange earnings and helping to improve the country’s trade balance. Energy experts believe the facility could eventually transform Nigeria from a net importer of refined petroleum products into a major exporter.
The increase in production has also created fresh opportunities for local crude oil producers. With a large domestic refining facility requiring substantial feedstock, upstream operators now have an additional market for their crude production, potentially reducing exposure to international market volatility.
Economic analysts argue that the refinery’s operations could have far-reaching implications for Nigeria’s economy. Increased local refining capacity is expected to support industrial growth, create jobs, stimulate related industries, and reduce logistics costs associated with importing refined products.
The development is also viewed as a positive signal for investors, demonstrating Nigeria’s capacity to execute large-scale industrial projects capable of attracting global attention and investment.
However, experts note that sustaining high production levels will depend on consistent crude oil supply, efficient logistics infrastructure, regulatory stability, and continued collaboration between industry stakeholders and government agencies.
The refinery’s growing role in the domestic market has coincided with efforts by authorities to deepen reforms in the oil and gas sector, improve transparency, and encourage greater private-sector participation across the petroleum value chain.
Market observers believe that as production continues to increase, consumers could benefit from improved fuel availability and potentially more stable pricing, although global crude oil prices and foreign exchange movements will continue to influence market dynamics.
For Nigeria’s broader economy, the refinery represents a strategic asset capable of strengthening energy security, reducing import dependence, supporting foreign exchange earnings, and accelerating industrial development.
With production reportedly reaching 700,000 barrels per day, the Dangote Refinery is increasingly positioning itself as a cornerstone of Nigeria’s energy transformation agenda and a major player in the global refining landscape.
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