Business
NGX loses trillions to profit-taking
By Philippine Duru
philippineobetoduru@gmail.com
08034905774
The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) has witnessed heightened volatility in recent trading sessions as widespread profit-taking by investors triggered significant declines in market capitalization, wiping out between ₦1.8 trillion and ₦4.92 trillion in value across multiple trading days.
The sell-off follows an extended bullish run that saw the NGX All-Share Index (ASI) climb to historic highs above 250,000 points earlier in the year, driven by robust corporate earnings, banking sector recapitalisation activities, attractive dividend payouts, and increased participation from both domestic and foreign investors.
Market analysts say the recent losses reflect a wave of portfolio rebalancing rather than a deterioration in market fundamentals, as investors moved to lock in gains after months of sustained appreciation in share prices.
The banking sector, which has led much of the market’s rally over the past year, has been at the centre of the profit-taking activity, with investors reassessing valuations following substantial price gains. Similar trends have been recorded across consumer goods, industrial, and telecommunications stocks.
Despite the recent correction, the broader market remains resilient. The benchmark ASI continues to trade significantly above its level a year ago, underscoring the strength of the rally that has positioned the NGX among Africa’s top-performing stock markets in recent years.
Analysts attribute the market’s strong long-term performance to increased liquidity, growing investor confidence, and the search for inflation hedges amid economic reforms and currency adjustments. They argue that periodic corrections are a healthy feature of equity markets, helping to moderate excessive valuations and create fresh entry opportunities for investors.
“The current decline is largely a technical correction after an exceptional rally,” said a Lagos-based investment analyst. “Many stocks had appreciated significantly within a relatively short period, making profit-taking inevitable. What remains important is that the underlying fundamentals of many listed companies are still strong.”
Investor sentiment has also been supported by expectations of stronger half-year financial results from major listed companies. Market participants are closely monitoring corporate earnings releases, dividend outlooks, and policy signals from regulators and monetary authorities for indications of future market direction.
Financial experts note that Nigeria’s improving macroeconomic outlook—including easing inflationary pressures, relative exchange-rate stability, and ongoing structural reforms—continues to support confidence in the equities market.
While short-term volatility is expected to persist as investors continue to reposition their portfolios, analysts remain optimistic about the medium- to long-term prospects of Nigerian equities. Key growth drivers include banking sector reforms, infrastructure development, digital economy expansion, and the potential return of stronger foreign portfolio inflows.
For retail investors, market experts advise maintaining a long-term investment perspective and focusing on fundamentally sound companies rather than reacting to short-term market fluctuations.
As investors await fresh economic data and corporate earnings reports, attention will remain on whether bargain hunters return to the market and restore upward momentum. Although recent sell-offs have erased trillions of naira from investor wealth, analysts believe the correction is more likely a period of consolidation than a reversal of the broader upward trend that has defined the NGX over the past year.
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Dangote refinery hits 700,000 barrel per day
By Philippine Duru
philippineobetoduru@gmail.com
08034905773
Nigeria’s drive toward energy self-sufficiency has received a major boost as the Dangote Petroleum Refinery reportedly ramps up production to about 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), significantly increasing the supply of refined petroleum products to the domestic market and strengthening the country’s position in the global refining industry.
The development marks a significant milestone for the $20 billion refinery project, which has steadily increased its operational capacity since commencing production. Industry stakeholders say the higher output level is helping to ease fuel supply concerns, reduce dependence on imported petroleum products, and improve energy security in Africa’s largest economy.
Located in the Lekki Free Trade Zone in Lagos, the refinery was designed with a nameplate capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, making it the largest single-train refinery in the world. Recent reports indicating production levels approaching 700,000 barrels daily have fueled optimism about the facility’s ability to meet growing domestic demand while serving export markets across Africa and beyond.
The refinery’s rising output comes at a critical time when Nigeria is seeking to reduce the billions of dollars spent annually on fuel imports and conserve foreign exchange reserves. For decades, despite being one of Africa’s largest crude oil producers, Nigeria relied heavily on imported refined products due to inadequate domestic refining capacity.
Analysts say the increased production is already transforming the country’s downstream petroleum sector by ensuring a more stable supply of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, as well as diesel, aviation fuel, and other refined products.
“The refinery is gradually changing the dynamics of Nigeria’s fuel market,” said an energy analyst based in Lagos. “Higher production levels mean greater local availability of petroleum products, lower import dependence, and improved supply chain efficiency.”
The impact has been particularly evident in the petrol market, where increased local production has helped reduce pressure on fuel imports and improved product availability across the country. Industry operators note that the refinery’s growing output is also contributing to increased competition within the downstream sector.
Beyond the domestic market, the refinery has emerged as a significant exporter of refined products. Recent shipments of aviation fuel, diesel, and other petroleum products to Europe, Asia, and other international destinations have strengthened Nigeria’s position as a major refining hub.
The refinery’s export activities are generating valuable foreign exchange earnings and helping to improve the country’s trade balance. Energy experts believe the facility could eventually transform Nigeria from a net importer of refined petroleum products into a major exporter.
The increase in production has also created fresh opportunities for local crude oil producers. With a large domestic refining facility requiring substantial feedstock, upstream operators now have an additional market for their crude production, potentially reducing exposure to international market volatility.
Economic analysts argue that the refinery’s operations could have far-reaching implications for Nigeria’s economy. Increased local refining capacity is expected to support industrial growth, create jobs, stimulate related industries, and reduce logistics costs associated with importing refined products.
The development is also viewed as a positive signal for investors, demonstrating Nigeria’s capacity to execute large-scale industrial projects capable of attracting global attention and investment.
However, experts note that sustaining high production levels will depend on consistent crude oil supply, efficient logistics infrastructure, regulatory stability, and continued collaboration between industry stakeholders and government agencies.
The refinery’s growing role in the domestic market has coincided with efforts by authorities to deepen reforms in the oil and gas sector, improve transparency, and encourage greater private-sector participation across the petroleum value chain.
Market observers believe that as production continues to increase, consumers could benefit from improved fuel availability and potentially more stable pricing, although global crude oil prices and foreign exchange movements will continue to influence market dynamics.
For Nigeria’s broader economy, the refinery represents a strategic asset capable of strengthening energy security, reducing import dependence, supporting foreign exchange earnings, and accelerating industrial development.
With production reportedly reaching 700,000 barrels per day, the Dangote Refinery is increasingly positioning itself as a cornerstone of Nigeria’s energy transformation agenda and a major player in the global refining landscape.
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